Line Movement, Explained: Why the Number Moves and How to Be Early
Betting lines move for a reason. What moves a number - sharp money, steam, injuries - and why being early on line movement is where the value actually lives.
Read moreConvert between American, decimal, and fractional odds, and see the implied probability behind any price.
Enter odds in any format and instantly see the equivalent American, decimal, and fractional odds - plus the implied probability.
The same price, three ways to read it - plus the probability it implies.
Positive numbers show profit on a $100 stake; negative numbers show the stake needed to win $100.
Multiply your stake by the decimal to get your total return, including the stake.
Profit relative to stake - 3/2 returns $3 profit for every $2 staked.
The break-even win rate the odds represent. Beat it and you have an edge.
They are three ways to write the same price. American odds sit around 100 with a plus or minus (+150, -110). Decimal odds show your total return per unit staked (2.50). Fractional odds show profit relative to stake (3/2). All three imply the same probability.
If the decimal is 2.00 or higher, subtract 1 and multiply by 100, so 2.50 becomes +150. If it is below 2.00, divide -100 by the decimal minus 1, so 1.50 becomes -200. The converter above does it instantly.
+150 means a $100 winning bet profits $150, for a total return of $250. Positive American odds always show the profit on a $100 stake. The price implies about a 40% chance.
-110 means you risk $110 to profit $100, the standard price on a point spread. Negative odds show how much you must stake to win $100. It implies about a 52.4% break-even rate.
Convert the price to decimal and divide 1 by it. For 2.50 decimal, 1 divided by 2.50 is 40%. Beating that break-even number over time is the whole game.
Betting lines move for a reason. What moves a number - sharp money, steam, injuries - and why being early on line movement is where the value actually lives.
Read moreClosing line value (CLV) is the clearest sign you're a winning bettor - better than your record. What CLV is, why it matters, and how to actually get it.
Read moreParlays get called a sucker bet, but the math is simpler than that. A parlay compounds whatever edge you bring. Good legs compound profit. Bad legs compound the leak.
Read moreSet your criteria and Momentum Bets notifies you the instant a price hits your threshold.
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